Backa Topola 0-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.03/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.19
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.0 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
0-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.23 xG 0.77
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
437 Passes 170
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 15
48 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd squeezed past Backa Topola 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Backa Topola carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 68% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 32%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.77 — on chances, Backa Topola could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd?

Backa Topola 0-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 57%, draw 22%, OFK Beograd 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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