ND Primorje 2-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

ND Primorje
2-1 HT 1-1
Domzale
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ND Primorje vs Domzale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
7%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ND Primorje v Domzale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

ND Primorje 2-1 Domzale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-1
AWAY Domzale
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje squeezed past Domzale 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; ND Primorje found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 61% of the ball to Domzale's 39%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Domzale?

ND Primorje 2-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 36%, draw 24%, Domzale 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Domzale) ✗ Under 2.5
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