Pendikspor 1-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
23%
4.47
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
10%
4.95
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.69/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.21
+4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.6 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.04.2012 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
20.03.2011 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
1-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.97 xG 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
411 Passes 213
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor nicked a narrow win over Pendikspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 62% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 38%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.97 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pendikspor and 2.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Kocaelispor?

Pendikspor 1-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 51%, draw 24%, Kocaelispor 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pendikspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →