BG Pathum United 0-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

BG Pathum United
0-1 HT 0-1
Rayong FC
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
27%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-17.1pp
27%
Draw
16%
+10.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Rayong FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.2 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

BG Pathum United 0-1 Rayong FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
0-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.24 xG 1.24
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
595 Passes 168
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
45 Box Touches 7
41 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC edged past BG Pathum United 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BG Pathum United at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 72% of the ball to Rayong FC's 28%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.24 to 1.24.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

BG Pathum United 0-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 57%, draw 27%, Rayong FC 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BG Pathum United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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