Instituto Cordoba 0-4 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.30
+3% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.8 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.03 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
255 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.02.2025 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
19.05.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.02.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-2 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
18.04.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0-4
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.26 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
331 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe swept aside Instituto Cordoba 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Instituto Cordoba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 60% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 40%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.75 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?

Instituto Cordoba 0-4 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 42%, draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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