Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.18
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.44
No
48%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.61
6+ Goals
15%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
80%
-2.4pp
10%
Draw
14%
-3.6pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
37%
+15.1pp
48%
BTTS No
63%
-15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
2.31/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.17
+17% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.7 Crosses 12.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.63 xG 0.73
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
473 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
02.10.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
17.05.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.12.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
20.03.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.12.2020 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-0
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.60 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
384 Passes 228
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 3
10 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai got the better of Al Dhafra 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 55% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 45%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.60 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.67 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Dhafra?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 77%, draw 10%, Al Dhafra 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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