Middelfart 2-2 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

Middelfart
2-2 HT 1-0
HB Koge
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Middelfart vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.33
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
19%
5.24
X/2
11%
6.14
X/X
15%
4.5
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.27
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
– Crosses 18.1
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Middelfart 2-2 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-2
AWAY HB Koge
1.85 xG 1.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
396 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart and HB Koge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middelfart had 58% of the ball to HB Koge's 42%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.85 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs HB Koge?

Middelfart 2-2 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 37%, draw 29%, HB Koge 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Middelfart), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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