KPV Kokkola 2-1 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
16%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.69
6+ Goals
9%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 29% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
16%
Away Win
21%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.31/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/3.10
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
1W-1D-1L
AWAY EPS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
08.06.2025 EPS EPS 1-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
31.08.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 1-0 EPS EPS FİN3
13.06.2024 EPS EPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola squeezed past EPS 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KPV Kokkola as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for KPV Kokkola and 0.67 for EPS.

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs EPS?

KPV Kokkola 2-1 EPS in the FİN3 on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 59%, draw 25%, EPS 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KPV Kokkola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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