Hrvace 3-2 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hrvace EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Hrvace vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hrvace squeezed past HNK Cibalia 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hrvace as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Hrvace vs HNK Cibalia?

Hrvace 3-2 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hrvace vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hrvace win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hrvace 43%, draw 23%, HNK Cibalia 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hrvace), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hrvace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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