Ballinamallard United 1-0 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.4pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.10/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.00
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
18.01.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
17.08.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 HT 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.01.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-0 HT 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
16.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 0-2 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
05.08.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United nicked a narrow win over Harland & Wolff Welders 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Harland & Wolff Welders at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.50 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ballinamallard United 1-0 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 30%, draw 26%, Harland & Wolff Welders 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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