Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.00
+20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
20.10.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-2
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers squeezed past Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 49% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 29%, draw 22%, Sliema Wanderers 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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