Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.03.2022 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-1 HT 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
22.08.2021 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki ran out comfortable winners over Znicz Pruszkow 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 54% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 46%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 1.00 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 55%, draw 20%, Znicz Pruszkow 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
16 Aug 2025
20:30 Stal Rzeszow vs Puszcza Niepolomice Analysis →
20:30 Chrobry Glogow vs Miedz Legnica Analysis →