Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.05
+38% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.8 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
257 Passes 228
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
20.08.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
07.10.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-1 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.04.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
01.11.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-0
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.91 xG 0.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
190 Passes 251
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar saw off Radnik Surdulica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 42% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 58%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica?

Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 40%, draw 27%, Radnik Surdulica 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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