Quilmes 3-0 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.59
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo The Market 20%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.38/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.18
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY San Telmo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
29.03.2026 San Telmo San Telmo 0-3 HT 0-2 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
19.06.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 3-2 HT 2-2 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes ran out comfortable winners over San Telmo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Quilmes and 1.50 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs San Telmo?

Quilmes 3-0 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 49%, draw 31%, San Telmo 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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