Sumqayıt 1-3 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Aug 2026

Sumqayıt
1 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Neftçi PFK
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2026/2027

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.61
Draw
23%
3.54
Away Pick
62%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
1%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Sumqayıt v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sumqayıt The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK The Market 59%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.01
1.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Bad
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 2

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
05.04.2026 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
15.12.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-2 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
21.09.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
28.04.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-2 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
21.02.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.12.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 2-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
REVIEW Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neftçi PFK saw off Sumqayıt 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Sumqayıt against 1.67 for Neftçi PFK.

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Result & Final Score

Sumqayıt 1 - 3 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sumqayıt vs Neftçi PFK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 15%, draw 23%, Neftçi PFK 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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