Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2026

Stal Mielec
5-2 HT 2-1
Polonia Bytom
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.03
Over Pick
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.69
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5 ✗
31%
3.04
6+
11%
9.99
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Stal Mielec v Polonia Bytom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom The Market 38%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.96/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.79
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.05.2026 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 4-1 HT 2-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL1
22.11.2025 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 4-1 HT 2-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1

Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia Bytom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
5-2
AWAY Polonia Bytom
13 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stal Mielec cruised past Polonia Bytom 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Stal Mielec as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. Notably, the market (2.38) had it nearer 42% — this one landed for the bolder read. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) landed.

On the day, shots finished 13-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 2.50 for Polonia Bytom.

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom Result & Final Score

Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 1st Division on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 51%, draw 20%, Polonia Bytom 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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