Seattle Sounders 2-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Sep 2024

Seattle Sounders
2-0 HT 2-0
Sporting Kansas City
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
18%
3.87
X/2
11%
11.3
X/X
11%
5.89
2/1
12%
21.45
2/2
11%
8.45
2/X
6%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.82/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.71
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.1 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
410 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
07.05.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
26.03.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-4 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
03.10.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
25.06.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
23.10.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Seattle Sounders 2-0 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
2-0
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
2.99 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 11
403 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders got the better of Sporting Kansas City 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 52% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 48%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.99 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.33 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?

Seattle Sounders 2-0 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 49%, draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →