Quilmes 1-0 Racing Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.38
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Racing Cordoba
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.04.2024 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
15.10.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba ARJPBN
06.06.2023 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Racing Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes edged past Racing Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Quilmes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Racing Cordoba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Quilmes and 1.00 for Racing Cordoba.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Racing Cordoba?

Quilmes 1-0 Racing Cordoba in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Racing Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 37%, draw 31%, Racing Cordoba 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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