Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-3 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 64%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.14
-35% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-0D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.09.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-3
AWAY CSKA Sofia
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia cruised past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 40% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 60%, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-3 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 23%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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