Mohammedan 0-1 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.97
Over
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.65
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
26%
3.3
6+
9%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
0-1
AWAY NorthEast United
0.27 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
320 Passes 208
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United edged past Mohammedan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mohammedan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mohammedan had 60% of the ball to NorthEast United's 40%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.27 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs NorthEast United?

Mohammedan 0-1 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mohammedan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 41%, draw 25%, NorthEast United 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mohammedan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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