Arabi 2-2 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.96/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.76
+37% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +67%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Jabalain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
28.08.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 3-3 HT 2-2 Arabi SUUD1
03.05.2023 Arabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
21.12.2022 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-2
AWAY Al Jabalain
29% Ball Possession 71%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Al Jabalain shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 29% of the ball to Al Jabalain's 71%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arabi and 1.00 for Al Jabalain.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Jabalain?

Arabi 2-2 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arabi 42%, draw 29%, Al Jabalain 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5
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