Santa Clara U23 1-2 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Sep 2025

Santa Clara U23
1-2
União de Leiria U23
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

Santa Clara U23 vs União de Leiria U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara U23 v União de Leiria U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Santa Clara U23 1-2 União de Leiria U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-2
AWAY União de Leiria U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 57% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 43%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-2 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 49%, draw 23%, União de Leiria U23 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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