16/09/2026
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Perugia vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
Perugia v Spezia — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Perugia vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Perugia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY
Spezia
1.50
Avg Goals (FT)
1.83
0.91
xG
1.77
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
363
Passes
383
80%
Pass Accuracy
81%
22
Box Touches
21
19
Crosses
21
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Perugia vs Spezia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Perugia against 1.83 for Spezia.
Perugia vs Spezia Kick-off Time
Perugia play Spezia in the Italy - Serie C on 16/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Perugia vs Spezia Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Perugia vs Spezia is an Spezia win at about 35% probability, priced 2.51 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Perugia 32%, draw 33%, Spezia 35%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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16 Sep 2026