16/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Antequera vs Marbella Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
28%
Draw
30%
32%
Away Win
31%
59%
Under 2.5
62%
41%
Over 2.5
38%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Antequera v Marbella — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Antequera
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marbella
EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+1%
0.77/0.81
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.55/1.15
-38%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+53%
/
-3%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
305 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
Antequera 3-1 Marbella — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Antequera
3-1
AWAY
Marbella
50%
Ball Possession
50%
9
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
POST-MATCH
Antequera vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Antequera beat Marbella 3-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Antequera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Antequera had 50% of the ball to Marbella's 50%, shots finished 9-7.
What was the final score of Antequera vs Marbella?
Antequera 3-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Antequera vs Marbella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Antequera 39%, draw 28%, Marbella 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antequera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Antequera)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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