Barbastro 0-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.3pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.97/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.27
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Calahorra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-0 HT 1-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
26.11.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Calahorra squeezed past Barbastro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and on the day CD Calahorra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barbastro and 0.50 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs CD Calahorra?

Barbastro 0-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 32%, draw 35%, CD Calahorra 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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