Baden 1-2 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.51/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.62/0.00
+61% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Basel II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
26.11.2022 Basel II Basel II 5-0 HT 1-0 Baden Baden İSV1Y
06.08.2022 Baden Baden 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baden
1-2
AWAY Basel II
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baden vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II nicked a narrow win over Baden 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Baden had 43% of the ball to Basel II's 57%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basel II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Baden and 2.50 for Basel II.

What was the final score of Baden vs Basel II?

Baden 1-2 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baden 29%, draw 27%, Basel II 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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