Uganda Police vs Express Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Express — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Express Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Uganda Police
UGA
1-2
HT 1-1
Express
UGA
Uganda Police 2-2 Express — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police and Express shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Uganda Police at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uganda Police had 49% of the ball to Express's 51%, shots finished 8-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Express led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uganda Police and 2.00 for Express.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Express?
Uganda Police 2-2 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Express?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 47%, draw 27%, Express 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.