SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SL Benfica (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) beat SL Benfica (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SL Benfica (K) had 32% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 68%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.38 to 1.75.
What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 21%, draw 15%, Arsenal (K) 65%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.