SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
14%
5.71
Away Pick
65%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.2pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.4pp
65%
Away Win
76%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.18/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.08
+150% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.3
9.5 Crosses 23.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SL Benfica (K)
0-2
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.38 xG 1.75
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
172 Passes 450
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) beat SL Benfica (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SL Benfica (K) had 32% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 68%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.38 to 1.75.

What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

SL Benfica (K) 0-2 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 21%, draw 15%, Arsenal (K) 65%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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