Chernomorets 1-2 Pavlovskaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 16 Oct 2025

Chernomorets
1-2 HT 0-1
Pavlovskaya
📅16/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Chernomorets vs Pavlovskaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.74
Over
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chernomorets v Pavlovskaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pavlovskaya The Market 29%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-74% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Pavlovskaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pavlovskaya edged past Chernomorets 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Pavlovskaya?

Chernomorets 1-2 Pavlovskaya in the Russia - Cup on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Pavlovskaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 48%, draw 27%, Pavlovskaya 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chernomorets), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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