Kampala City 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.33
No
48%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.8pp
48%
BTTS No
61%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.57/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.26
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Lugazi Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City and Lugazi Municipal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Kampala City carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kampala City had 64% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 36%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Lugazi Municipal?

Kampala City 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 64%, draw 23%, Lugazi Municipal 12%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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