Tenerife (K) 2-0 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
62%
-28.8pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.8pp
33%
Away Win
15%
+17.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.21/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.68
-48% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.7 Crosses 19.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Valencia (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 0.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 223
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
27.01.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
2-0
AWAY Valencia (K)
1.26 xG 0.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
266 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 4
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) beat Valencia (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tenerife (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 47% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 53%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tenerife (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tenerife (K) and 0.50 for Valencia (K).

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Tenerife (K) 2-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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