USM El Harrach 1-0 US Chaouia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.45
Over 2.5
29%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.06
No
66%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
28%
+5.7pp
66%
BTTS No
72%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY US Chaouia EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.98/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.09
-37% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +47%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
1-0
AWAY US Chaouia
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs US Chaouia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach nicked a narrow win over US Chaouia 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 58% of the ball to US Chaouia's 42%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs US Chaouia?

USM El Harrach 1-0 US Chaouia in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs US Chaouia?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 53%, draw 27%, US Chaouia 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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