MC Magra 1-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

MC Magra
1-0 HT 1-0
Mostaganem
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

MC Magra vs Mostaganem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.36
Over 2.5
24%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.51
No
71%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
53%
1.87
2-3 Goals
32%
1.92
4-5 Goals
10%
7.7
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 53% vs market 46.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
31%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
76%
Under 2.5
70%
+6.4pp
24%
Over 2.5
30%
-6.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
36%
-6.5pp
71%
BTTS No
64%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MC Magra v Mostaganem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Magra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.55/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

MC Magra 1-0 Mostaganem — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Magra
1-0
AWAY Mostaganem
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MC Magra vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Magra squeezed past Mostaganem 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 38% / 24%) promised a tight game; MC Magra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MC Magra had 52% of the ball to Mostaganem's 48%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of MC Magra vs Mostaganem?

MC Magra 1-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Magra vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Magra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MC Magra 38%, draw 38%, Mostaganem 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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