Dijon (K) 4-0 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.96
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-16.9pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+11.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
517 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.2
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guingamp (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.24 xG 0.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
290 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
4-0
AWAY Guingamp (K)
1.54 xG 0.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 12
15 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
286 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) cruised past Guingamp (K) 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dijon (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 44% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 56%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Dijon (K) 4-0 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 62%, draw 18%, Guingamp (K) 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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