Fleury-Merogis 1-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleury-Merogis EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleury-Merogis
1-1
AWAY Amiens SC
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Fleury-Merogis vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleury-Merogis and Amiens SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Amiens SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fleury-Merogis had 50% of the ball to Amiens SC's 50%.

What was the final score of Fleury-Merogis vs Amiens SC?

Fleury-Merogis 1-1 Amiens SC in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleury-Merogis vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fleury-Merogis 34%, draw 25%, Amiens SC 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amiens SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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