16/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ginglin Cesson vs Alencon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
32%
Draw
29%
30%
Away Win
36%
62%
Under 2.5
56%
38%
Over 2.5
44%
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
58%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ginglin Cesson v Alencon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ginglin Cesson
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alencon
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
272 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ginglin Cesson vs Alencon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ginglin Cesson saw off Alencon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Ginglin Cesson made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Ginglin Cesson vs Alencon?
Ginglin Cesson 2-0 Alencon in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ginglin Cesson vs Alencon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ginglin Cesson win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ginglin Cesson 37%, draw 32%, Alencon 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ginglin Cesson), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ginglin Cesson)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
16 Nov 2024