Ajax (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 16 Nov 2024

Ajax (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Utrecht (K)
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Ajax (K) vs Utrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.46
Over 2.5
56%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
25%
+18.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
75%
-18.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax (K) v Utrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.05/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.39
+87% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses 15.0
0.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ajax (K) vs Utrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Utrecht (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1

Ajax (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
1-0
AWAY Utrecht (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
422 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Utrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) squeezed past Utrecht (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 57% of the ball to Utrecht (K)'s 43%, shots finished 24-13.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Ajax (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 54%, draw 21%, Utrecht (K) 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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