Akwa United 1-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Nov 2024

Akwa United
1-0 HT 1-0
Nasarawa United
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Akwa United vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akwa United v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.68/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.49
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Akwa United vs Nasarawa United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nasarawa United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
The Meetings
02.01.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
01.07.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 2-1 HT 2-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
14.02.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-1 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
18.03.2020 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United edged past Nasarawa United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Akwa United and 1.25 for Nasarawa United.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Nasarawa United?

Akwa United 1-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 56%, draw 23%, Nasarawa United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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