Lusitania 1-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 45%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.63/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.45
+23% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
1-1
AWAY Dezembro
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania and Dezembro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dezembro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Lusitania had 49% of the ball to Dezembro's 51%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Dezembro?

Lusitania 1-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 32%, draw 26%, Dezembro 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dezembro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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