Ankaraspor 1-0 Kırklarelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
28%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırklarelispor EU Bookmakers 40%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.28
+76% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankaraspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kırklarelispor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ankaraspor S2-B
14.10.2023 Ankaraspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankaraspor
1-0
AWAY Kırklarelispor
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ankaraspor vs Kırklarelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankaraspor squeezed past Kırklarelispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 34% — and on the day Ankaraspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Ankaraspor had 49% of the ball to Kırklarelispor's 51%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kırklarelispor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ankaraspor and 0.50 for Kırklarelispor.

What was the final score of Ankaraspor vs Kırklarelispor?

Ankaraspor 1-0 Kırklarelispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankaraspor vs Kırklarelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ankaraspor 29%, draw 36%, Kırklarelispor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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