16/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Sırbistan U19 vs Ermenistan U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
16%
Draw
14%
17%
Away Win
6%
37%
Under 2.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
62%
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
53%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sırbistan U19 v Ermenistan U19 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sırbistan U19
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ermenistan U19
EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.93/0.96
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.06/2.81
-29%
/
-50%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-90%
/
-10%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
4
393 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
247 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0
–
Crosses
3.0
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
Sırbistan U19 vs Ermenistan U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sırbistan U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ermenistan U19
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
35
Total Shots
9
20
Shots on Target
2
10
Corners
1
The Meetings
10.10.2015
Ermenistan U19
0-4
HT 0-2
Sırbistan U19
U19
0-4
HT 0-2
Sırbistan U19
U19
POST-MATCH
Sırbistan U19 vs Ermenistan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sırbistan U19 saw off Ermenistan U19 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sırbistan U19 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Sırbistan U19 vs Ermenistan U19?
Sırbistan U19 2-0 Ermenistan U19 in the European U19 on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sırbistan U19 vs Ermenistan U19?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan U19 67%, draw 16%, Ermenistan U19 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sırbistan U19)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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