Fuenlabrada 1-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2025

Fuenlabrada
1-0 HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Fuenlabrada vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fuenlabrada v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
209 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Fuenlabrada 1-0 Navalcarnero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-0
AWAY Navalcarnero
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada edged past Navalcarnero 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fuenlabrada as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 41% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 59%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Navalcarnero?

Fuenlabrada 1-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 45%, draw 25%, Navalcarnero 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuenlabrada) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ BTTS Yes
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