Melilla 1-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2025

Melilla
1-1 HT 0-0
Xerez Deportivo
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melilla v Xerez Deportivo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.30/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.33
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla and Xerez Deportivo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo?

Melilla 1-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Melilla 45%, draw 30%, Xerez Deportivo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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