Porreres 2-3 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2025

Porreres
2-3 HT 0-1
Castellon II
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Porreres vs Castellon II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porreres v Castellon II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porreres EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Porreres 2-3 Castellon II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porreres
2-3
AWAY Castellon II
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porreres vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Castellon II nicked a narrow win over Porreres 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Castellon II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Porreres had 44% of the ball to Castellon II's 56%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Porreres vs Castellon II?

Porreres 2-3 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porreres vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porreres win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Porreres 40%, draw 24%, Castellon II 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porreres) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porreres) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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