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16/11/2025
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Roma (K) vs Lazio (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Roma (K) win — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
25%
Draw
21%
15%
Away Win
16%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
46%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma (K) v Lazio (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Roma (K)
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lazio (K)
EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-27% /
-27%
2.03/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.56/1.44
+47%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+45%
/
-32%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
384 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 75%
32.3
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0
21.8
Crosses
15.0
1.6
Yellow Cards
0.0
Roma (K) vs Lazio (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Roma (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Lazio (K)
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
2.25
xG
0.67
42%
Ball Possession
58%
25
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Target
4
12
Corners
4
239
Passes
363
75%
Pass Accuracy
80%
24
Box Touches
19
22
Crosses
18
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
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Roma (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Roma (K)
1-0
AWAY
Lazio (K)
1.66
xG
0.70
48%
Ball Possession
52%
24
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
14
Corners
1
239
Passes
294
74%
Pass Accuracy
80%
30
Box Touches
13
24
Crosses
10
POST-MATCH
Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Roma (K) edged past Lazio (K) 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Roma (K) had 48% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 52%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.70.
What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)?
Roma (K) 1-0 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 60%, draw 25%, Lazio (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Roma (K))
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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16 Nov 2025