Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.05
No
67%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.7pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
29%
+4.4pp
67%
BTTS No
71%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.04/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.87
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
09.11.2025 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
03.08.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
17.03.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
10.08.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Deportivo Moron 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.50 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Moron?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 55%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moron 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
16 Nov 2025
02:00 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Estudiantes Caseros Analysis →