Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.97/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.83
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.7 Crosses 9.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.36 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
402 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 5-5 HT 0-2 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
23.12.2024 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
01.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-3 HT 1-2 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
16.05.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
17.01.2020 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
07.09.2019 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli nicked a narrow win over Al Nasr 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 2.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League Cup on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 54%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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