Aurora 3-2 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Nov 2025

Aurora
3-2 HT 2-1
Xelaju MC
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Aurora vs Xelaju MC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Xelaju MC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
0.74/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.19
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
192 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.7

Aurora vs Xelaju MC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Xelaju MC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora GUAT

Aurora 3-2 Xelaju MC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-2
AWAY Xelaju MC
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Xelaju MC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Xelaju MC?

Aurora 3-2 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aurora 51%, draw 24%, Xelaju MC 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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