NAC Breda (K) 2-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda (K)
2-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
223 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda (K) squeezed past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day NAC Breda (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, NAC Breda (K) had 44% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 56%, shots finished 16-18.

What was the final score of NAC Breda (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

NAC Breda (K) 2-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda (K) 34%, draw 32%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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